Problems
which are Puzzles have objective solutions,
and typically have known and reliable methods for
resolution. The problems are technical, mechanical,
financial, or mathematical in nature. The most pressing
need is for expertise. Once found, the solution
will be obvious to any appropriate observer. The
problem can be carved up into pieces and addressed
separately. And solutions can be imported (purchased,
copied, stolen) from elsewhere, as in "best practices".
Examples
Building a bridge across a river
Process improvement on a physical
manufacturing line
Getting a man to the moon and back
safely
Designing a smaller disk drive
Problems that are Too Rich are almost the exact opposite from Puzzles. While we are often certain there is at least one answer, the solution is not objective. In fact, we are typically facing a wide array of possible choices. The situation calls for a visionary or artistic effort, not a technical one. Once found, the solution will not be obvious; it may remain controversial well into implementation. Rather than expertise, the most pressing need is for judgment, intuition, innovation, even courage.
Examples
Defining the vision for a business
or project
Designing the architectural impact
of the home office building
Defining the "look and feel" of the
company web site
Building a user interface
Product design (i.e. the iMac)
Problems with Uncertainties are
dominated by the unknown or unknowable variation
in key variables. Typically solutions would vary
significantly depending on some uncertain future
development. The "solution" has to be contingent on
future events, making for multiple possible solutions
rather than
one best solution. The problem solving effort has
to be drawn out into the future so we can watch
unfolding events and modify the solution as needed.
The problem solving team cannot disperse; they
have to remain engaged to oversee the adjustment
of solutions as circumstances reveal themselves.
Examples
Deciding whether to build a gas cracking
plant (which takes 10 years) in the
face of fluctuating foreign oil prices,
uncertain access to coal, shifting
regulatory policies, and political
instability in the Middle East
Project planning (i.e., will our suppliers
come through? will someone get sick?
will it rain?)
Family planning (I want a boy and a
girl, about a year apart)
Problems that are Dilemmas come
from our simultaneous commitment to incompatible
goals. Our efforts to maximize one undermines
our success at the other. Faced with an
apparent conflict of interest, the representatives
of each side tend to become even more ardent
advocates, which only provokes an equal
escalation on the other side. The tension
between cost vs. quality, customization
vs. economies of scale, or personal freedom
vs. social order are all enduring dilemmas
which are never really resolved, only managed
more or less well.
The on-going nature of dilemmas makes a process
for finding solutions more valuable than any particular
solution.
Examples
Low price & High quality
The economy of centralized services & the
Customer intimacy of decentralized
operations
Personal freedom & Social order
(In banking) The quality of the portfolio
& Maintaining a certain volume of loans
Wide participation & Efficient decision
making
Problems with a Life
of Their Own emerge
when enough actors behaving independently
form an almost organic
entity: A marketplace of
buyers and sellers, employees in
a company,
companies
in a market segment, all
the supply chains feeding into a
single company.
All of these phenomena
exhibit order and structure well
outside
the intentions of any one
ostensibly "in charge".
The organization of such systems is emergent,
an unpredictable property spawned
by the relationships among
the
players.
Examples
Oscillations in complex supply chains
Addressing a sour company culture
Attracting staff in a tight labor market
Doubling the sales force leads to reduced
sales!?
Using Federal tax codes to influence investment
and spending habits, but it only spawns
a new set of financial strategies,
which creates the need for new controls,
etc.
Problems with Many Voices are
the classic conflicts of multiple
stakeholders with colliding interests. While
cooperation
may be difficult it is also essential,
since no one can proceed without the
tacit permission of the others (although that
power is usually expressed through
a veto
rather than positive support). The
driving need is for a safe and equitable forum
where parties can surface their interests
and explore options for the most satisfying
outcome for all parties concerned.
Examples
Developers vs. environmentalists vs. residents deciding on where to route a freeway
Negotiating product specs with a client
Owners, contractors, and architects
developing the specifications
for a major construction
project
Competing companies creating
industry standards to create
a stable marketplace for
their products
Infighting among departments
Problems of Our Own Making occur
when someone with compelling authority
makes a statement that so discrepant from
the realities of the situation
that the mere utterance of the statement
precipitates a reaction. Such a problem may
also occur when people fall into a collective
delusion, or initiate a self-fulfilling
prophecy. The telling feature is that the
stated reality and the real reality are
too different to support coherent or reasonable
action. If not countered, such problems can
worsen into more complex and irresolvable
conflicts.
Examples
A CEO calls for 60% growth despite
a 30% turnover rate
The senior executive team demands
a forecast of double-digit growth even
though the forecasting team cannot see
more than 6% growth
Telling your 14-year-old son that
he must respect his elders at all times
Imposing a TQM program onto a "command
and control" culture
Demanding complete documentation for new
products when Engineering is swamped
with new systems to design
Problems that Bite are
actually beyond resolution. These
are the long-standing, bitter conflicts
for which
violence is an ever present threat.
Beliefs have fallen into a stereotypical
form, and any meaningful
dialogue is extremely difficult to
arrange. No one is allowed to be a neutral
party, so
it is hard to enlist the norms and
practices of mediation or negotiation.
The goal is to
migrate the problem into another type,
which would require the insight of
a critical mass of thought leaders.