Problems
which are Puzzles have objective solutions,
and typically have known and reliable methods for
resolution. The problems are technical, mechanical,
financial, or mathematical in nature. The most pressing
need is for expertise. Once found, the solution
will be obvious to any appropriate observer. The
problem can be carved up into pieces and addressed
separately. And solutions can be imported (purchased,
copied, stolen) from elsewhere, as in "best practices".
Examples
Building a bridge across a river
Process improvement on a physical
manufacturing line
Getting a man to the moon and back
safely
Designing a smaller disk drive
Problems that are Too Rich are almost the exact opposite from Puzzles. While we are often certain there is at least one answer, the solution is not objective. In fact, we are typically facing a wide array of possible choices. The situation calls for a visionary or artistic effort, not a technical one. Once found, the solution will not be obvious; it may remain controversial well into implementation. Rather than expertise, the most pressing need is for judgment, intuition, innovation, even courage.
Examples
Defining the vision for a business
or project
Designing the architectural impact
of the home office building
Defining the "look and feel" of the
company web site
Building a user interface
Product design (i.e. the iMac)
Problems with Uncertainties are
dominated by the unknown or unknowable variation
in key variables. Typically solutions would vary
significantly depending on some uncertain future
development. The "solution" has to be contingent on
future events, making for multiple possible solutions
rather than
one best solution. The problem solving effort has
to be drawn out into the future so we can watch
unfolding events and modify the solution as needed.
The problem solving team cannot disperse; they
have to remain engaged to oversee the adjustment
of solutions as circumstances reveal themselves.
Examples
Deciding whether to build a gas cracking
plant (which takes 10 years) in the
face of fluctuating foreign oil prices,
uncertain access to coal, shifting
regulatory policies, and political
instability in the Middle East
Project planning (i.e., will our suppliers
come through? will someone get sick?
will it rain?)
Family planning (I want a boy and a
girl, about a year apart)
Problems
that are disputes are the classic conflicts of multiple stakeholders
with colliding interests. While cooperation may be difficult it is
also essential, since no one can proceed without the tacit permission
of the others (although that power is usually expressed through a
veto rather than positive support). The driving need is for a safe
and equitable forum where parties can surface their interests and
explore options for the most satisfying outcome for all parties concerned.
Examples
Developers vs. environmentalists vs. residents deciding on where
to route a new freeway
Negotiating product specs with a client
Owners, contractors, and architects developing the specifications
for a major construction project
Competing companies creating industry standards to create a stable
marketplace for their products
Infighting among departments
Problems that are Dilemmas come
from our simultaneous commitment to incompatible
goals. Our efforts to maximize one undermines
our success at the other. Faced with an
apparent conflict of interest, the representatives
of each side tend to become even more ardent
advocates, which only provokes an equal
escalation on the other side. The tension
between cost vs. quality, customization
vs. economies of scale, or personal freedom
vs. social order are all enduring dilemmas
which are never really resolved, only managed
more or less well.
The on-going nature of dilemmas makes a process
for finding solutions more valuable than any particular
solution.
Examples
Low price & High quality
The economy of centralized services & the
Customer intimacy of decentralized
operations
Personal freedom & Social order
(In banking) The quality of the portfolio
& Maintaining a certain volume of loans
Wide participation & Efficient decision
making
Problems that are complexities emerge
when enough actors behaving independently
form an almost organic
entity: A marketplace of
buyers and sellers, employees in
a company,
companies
in a market segment, all
the supply chains feeding into a
single company.
All of these phenomena
exhibit order and structure well
outside
the intentions of any one
ostensibly "in charge".
The organization of such systems is emergent,
an unpredictable property spawned
by the relationships among
the
players.
Examples
Oscillations in complex supply chains
Addressing a sour company culture
Attracting staff in a tight labor market
Doubling the sales force leads to reduced
sales!?
Using Federal tax codes to influence investment
and spending habits, but it only spawns
a new set of financial strategies,
which creates the need for new controls,
etc.